My attention was drawn today to an excellent article in The Guardian newspaper by Andy Stirling, Professor of Science and Technology Policy at Sussex University.
www.guardian.co.uk/science/political-science/2013/jul/08/precautionary-principle-science-policy
Prof Stirling argues a case that often, people who advocate taking a precautionary approach are accused of being “unscientific” or “anti-technology”. He cites as examples asbestos, lead, benzene, pesticides, ozone-depleters and overfishing. He argues that in each of these cases, “early precautionary action was dismissed as irrational by governments, business and scientific establishments alike – claiming there were no alternatives”. Yet, in every case, there actually were viable alternatives available, and that the levels of risk were “quite significantly understated” by the proponents of these innovations at the time.
He also cites GM food and nuclear power as present-day examples where the precautionary principle is being overridden in favour of a full-speed ahead agenda. He discusses the relationship between risk and uncertainty, and points out that, typically, the burden of proof falls more heavily on the people who are advocating the precautionary principle, and that all decisions made in these circumstances are essentially political decisions. He asserts that the “balance of emphasis tends to favour those products with most powerful backing”.
Sound familiar? Prof Stirling could easily be describing the fluoridation debate. Yes, it has been going on for a long time, fluoridation is hardly a new innovation. And, yes, most fluoride advocates assert that the debate has been “settled” a long time ago. But, if it really has been “settled” in favour of fluoride, how come the recent tribunal hearings in both New Plymouth and Hamilton, where the actual evidence was presented by both sides: how come in both cases the tribunal ruled in favour of the precautionary principle? It would seem that, by any reasonable standard, if it has indeed been “settled”, that it was actually settled in the opposite direction to what is being claimed!
That being the case, let us now work from the basis that it has not actually been finally “settled” at all. Prof Stirling also makes the point that in cases like this, where there is uncertainty, the notion that making a decision based entirely on science “is an oxymoron”, the decision is inevitable political. He also discusses the scenario of using "policy-based evidence" to assert some pre-decided outcome. Sound familiar? In the case of fluoridation in NZ, the “policy-based evidence” is continuously used by the health authorities to indeed justify a pre-determined decision.
By “policy-based evidence”, I include the bland assurances that all the “alarmist” precautionary-principle based health risks of fluoride in the human body are “unsubstantiated, and “lacking in evidence”. This (supposed) lack of hard evidence of harm is then used as a justification for labeling the people advocating the precautionary principle as “nutters”, flat-earthers” and “scare-mongerers”, as well as being “unscientific”.
I remind the reader of this blog of what I said in yesterday’s posting, about the health risks of fluoride to renal patients, and that I have been unable to find any research or studies regarding this. All we have are some more of these bland assurances, with no actual supporting evidence.
However, it is ignored that the actual reason for the paucity of really high-class evidence is that the full-speed-ahead pro-fluoride people are the same people who control the purse-strings of health-related research grants, and they have sat on their hands for about sixty years and done absolutely nothing to produce any really high quality studies or research that proves their thesis, of the absolute safety of fluoride in drinking water, at 0.7 to 1ppm concentration, once and for all.
Why? A cynic would ask, “What are they hiding”, and indeed at the tribunal hearings, this question was asked, but not answered. That question was met with a deafening silence from the “pro” side of the debate, apart from their usual carefully-worded bland assertions. If you do not believe me, watch the videos of the evidence yourself on the Hamilton Council’s website…
www.youtube.com/user/HamiltonCityCouncil/videos?view=0
So, getting back now to Prof Stirling’s argument in favour of the precautionary principle. I suggest that what has actually happened over the past sixty years is that there has been a growing awareness among many people that the pro-fluoride case is actually very dodgy, despite all the bland assurances, and that, in the absence of any actual proof to support those assurances, the precautionary principle should apply. This is basically what some of the Hamilton Councilors said during their decision-making debate, which is also in video form on the Council website, and in remarks that some of them have made since then, including this very good interview with Cr Dave Macpherson…
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zcu7XIIZyt4
So, what are the viable alternatives to fluoridation? These are well-known and have been widely canvassed. They were discussed extensively at the Hamilton tribunal, and also at the Thames District Council Annual Plan Hearings, where one of the councilors posed a direct question to the Waikato DHB Chief Dental Officer, asking the question would water fluoridation be needed at all if it was possible to have a really effective oral health programme for all children? The answer was “No, fluoridation would not be needed, if that was possible.”
So, that is the alternative. It is well-known, and both sides of the debate agree on it. Why cannot we all work together to find ways to implement such a programme? This same question has recently been asked of the MOH by the Thames District Council, and I will examine this discussion in a future blog, as it is very interesting, and is closely related to my interest in the power, policy and authority issues surrounding the fluoride debate.